Polymarket Market

Prediction market

Track current outcome prices, market depth, volume, liquidity, and recent trades for Prediction market.

Upcoming
Probability
4.9%
Liquidity
$46.96K
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.9%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 4.9% Current quote
No 4.9% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
4.9%
Depth
28,156.97 / 18,803.51

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%21,806
0.5%300
0.7%5,000
0.9%29.99
1%400
1.1%100
1.5%200
1.6%110

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%150
99.7%12,000
98%1,000
94%600
89.9%265
84%100
72.4%521.73
58.8%339.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 95.4% 3.02 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    Yes 4.9% 18.46 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 95.4% 1.87 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    Yes 4.6% 15 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 95.5% 7.5 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    Yes 4.5% 48.2 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 96.4% 8 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 96.4% 7.5 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    Yes 3.6% 12.75 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 98.2% 3.5 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 98.2% 15 shares
  • Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
    No 98.1% 14 shares