Polymarket Market
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 78%
- Volume
- $92.4K
- Liquidity
- $7.74K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 77%
- Best ask
- 83%
- Spread
- 6%
- Last trade
- 78%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 21%
- Depth
- 19,800.18 / 3,855.54
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 2,000 |
| 2% | 1,000 |
| 3% | 13.06 |
| 6% | 600 |
| 10% | 2,640 |
| 13% | 1,461.53 |
| 14% | 473 |
| 17% | 926.47 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 6.64 |
| 97% | 166 |
| 96% | 8.13 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 91% | 200 |
| 90% | 1,010 |
| 89% | 895 |
| 87% | 1,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 21% 25 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 18.5% 80 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 78% 2.23 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 18% 3.12 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 76% 643.06 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 78% 43 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 78% 1.29 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 75.1% 421.16 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 75.3% 3,158.02 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 80% 30 shares