Polymarket Market
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Live
- Probability
- 84%
- Volume
- $6.64K
- Liquidity
- $2.06K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 80%
- Best ask
- 83%
- Spread
- 3%
- Last trade
- 84%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 16%
- Depth
- 30,275.05 / 6,369.62
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 20,907.12 |
| 2% | 9.63 |
| 5% | 3,610 |
| 6% | 616 |
| 7% | 607.66 |
| 11% | 1,500 |
| 12% | 300 |
| 15% | 100 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 1,007.94 |
| 98% | 100 |
| 97% | 149.58 |
| 96% | 25 |
| 95% | 25 |
| 94% | 25 |
| 93% | 5.76 |
| 92% | 213 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 84% 1.19 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 19% 450.65 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 9% 6.16 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 10% 0.53 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 87.1% 229.69 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 86% 111.8 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 17% 147.19 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 83% 36.14 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 81% 1.21 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 81% 50.39 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 82.5% 72.75 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 82% 3.66 shares