Polymarket Market
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Live
- Probability
- 58%
- Volume
- $186.49K
- Liquidity
- $27.86K
- Ends
- Jun 25, 2026
- Best bid
- 58%
- Best ask
- 60%
- Spread
- 2%
- Last trade
- 58%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 58%
- Depth
- 122,703.23 / 221,361.48
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 8,010.87 |
| 2% | 10.48 |
| 3% | 21,356.45 |
| 4% | 3,700 |
| 5% | 20 |
| 6% | 18,133.33 |
| 7% | 1,899 |
| 8% | 5,476.23 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,018.5 |
| 98% | 87,771.74 |
| 97% | 9,039.64 |
| 96% | 28,000 |
| 95% | 75.04 |
| 94% | 23,476.66 |
| 93% | 3,896.79 |
| 92% | 15,800 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 58% 5 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 58% 5 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 60% 8.33 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 60% 11.67 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 40% 10 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 10 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 5 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 58 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 86 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 150 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 42% 58 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 59% 0.62 shares