Polymarket Market
Blue wave in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Live
- Probability
- 72%
- Volume
- $51.62K
- Liquidity
- $15.77K
- Ends
- Nov 30, 2026
- Best bid
- 72%
- Best ask
- 74%
- Spread
- 2%
- Last trade
- 72%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 28%
- Depth
- 306,367.97 / 53,125.71
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 104,305.78 |
| 2% | 70,059.32 |
| 3% | 26,249.99 |
| 4% | 18,750.01 |
| 5% | 39,000 |
| 7% | 10,699.99 |
| 8% | 6.74 |
| 9% | 5,900 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 30,970.01 |
| 98% | 6,718.75 |
| 97% | 1,048.68 |
| 96% | 781.24 |
| 95% | 500 |
| 94% | 4,983 |
| 93% | 7.12 |
| 92% | 800 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 72% 26.93 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28% 81.82 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 27.9% 357.86 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 27.8% 269.21 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28% 3.57 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 72% 46.4 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28% 3.89 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28% 39.29 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 72% 115.07 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 72% 4 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28.4% 38.79 shares