Polymarket Market

DAI depeg by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for DAI-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of DAI below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DAI-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ADAIUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth DAI-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary DAI information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether DAI was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Live
Probability
10%
Volume
$3.37K
Liquidity
$254.18
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
6%
Best ask
11%
Spread
5%
Last trade
10%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 8.5% Current quote
No 91.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
345.85 / 720.29

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
2%87
4%150
5%84.31
6%24.54

Asks

PriceSize
99%39.2
95%20
90%55
73%266.66
72%83
60%175
59%5
14%25.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    Yes 9.6% 75 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 88.7% 33.52 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 86% 19 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    Yes 14% 20 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    Yes 9.4% 239.93 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 86% 150 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 89% 6.52 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 88% 60 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    Yes 19.5% 18.9 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 89% 14.52 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 85.7% 278 shares
  • DAI depeg by December 31?
    No 82% 13.04 shares