Polymarket Market

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
6%
Volume
$519.69K
Liquidity
$35.85K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
6%
Best ask
7%
Spread
1%
Last trade
6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
42,918.23 / 232,575.2

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%8,542.73
2%11,588.54
3%7,395.85
4%4,522.82
5%6,872.93
6%3,995.36

Asks

PriceSize
99%52,007.6
98%34,000
97%7.07
95%31,575.24
94%20,600
93%750
92%500
91%12,138.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 11.71 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 0.92 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 23.8 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 100 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 0.33 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 8.63 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 0.41 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 10.64 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 14.29 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 0.65 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 16.66 shares
  • Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 14.29 shares