Polymarket Market
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 1.8%
- Volume
- $72.67K
- Liquidity
- $17.56K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1.8%
- Best ask
- 1.9%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 1.8%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 98.1%
- Depth
- 54,030.67 / 239,746.03
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 49,143.47 |
| 0.2% | 1,688 |
| 0.4% | 502 |
| 0.5% | 100 |
| 0.7% | 425.5 |
| 0.8% | 464.81 |
| 1% | 109.26 |
| 1.1% | 350.64 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 2,150 |
| 99.7% | 40,000 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99% | 50,000 |
| 98.2% | 25 |
| 98% | 30,000 |
| 95% | 25,675.24 |
| 94% | 8,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98.1% 1.11 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98.1% 14.58 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98.1% 10.77 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98.2% 25.36 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 1.8% 16.66 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 1.8% 8.5 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98.1% 1.02 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 2% 118.75 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 98% 1.02 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 97.9% 8.06 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No 97.9% 21.73 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 2.1% 3.33 shares