Polymarket Market
Iran Nuke before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Live
- Probability
- 7.5%
- Volume
- $943.14K
- Liquidity
- $101.18K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 7.5%
- Best ask
- 7.6%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 7.5%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 92.4%
- Depth
- 642,752.38 / 570,728.18
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 338,771.5 |
| 0.2% | 58,259.71 |
| 0.3% | 33,154.5 |
| 0.4% | 26,168.47 |
| 0.5% | 13,525 |
| 0.6% | 10,162.12 |
| 0.7% | 7,366.05 |
| 0.8% | 5,865.84 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 27,016.47 |
| 99.8% | 5,000 |
| 99.7% | 40,006.32 |
| 99.6% | 2,500 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99.4% | 10.29 |
| 99% | 69,634 |
| 98% | 37,096 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 10.76 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 7.5% 27.02 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 5.38 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 5.38 shares