Polymarket Market
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 21%
- Volume
- $188.23K
- Liquidity
- $7.4K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 21%
- Best ask
- 24%
- Spread
- 3%
- Last trade
- 21%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 21%
- Depth
- 126,405.53 / 52,822.37
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 49,956.62 |
| 2% | 34,360.69 |
| 3% | 18,705.91 |
| 4% | 4,531.24 |
| 5% | 2,625 |
| 6% | 10,441.74 |
| 7% | 7.19 |
| 8% | 2,030 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 18,506.61 |
| 98% | 4,884.31 |
| 97% | 2,750 |
| 96% | 9,619.05 |
| 95% | 1,500 |
| 94% | 1,000 |
| 93% | 7.59 |
| 91% | 3,241.8 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 345.4 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 5.58 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 4.56 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 36.43 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 2.92 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 76% 2.14 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 76% 2.14 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 2.05 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 3.45 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 23.7% 11.37 shares