Polymarket Market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 2.2%
- Volume
- $140.1K
- Liquidity
- $13.28K
- Ends
- Jun 30, 2026
- Best bid
- 1.1%
- Best ask
- 2.7%
- Spread
- 1.6%
- Last trade
- 2.2%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 97.3%
- Depth
- 117,594.39 / 70,876.2
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 102,050 |
| 0.2% | 7,134.93 |
| 0.3% | 2,746.72 |
| 0.4% | 1,406.25 |
| 0.5% | 750 |
| 0.6% | 800 |
| 0.8% | 1,007.49 |
| 0.9% | 1,699 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 2,205.28 |
| 99.8% | 31.63 |
| 99.7% | 10,010.87 |
| 99.5% | 32,000 |
| 99.4% | 6.91 |
| 99% | 750 |
| 98.9% | 7.81 |
| 98% | 1,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 2.2% 46.34 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 99.2% 2.4 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98.1% 1.35 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98.1% 5.09 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98% 3.26 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 1.9% 12.5 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98.1% 25.43 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98% 6.12 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 96.6% 3.06 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 97.9% 3.06 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 97% 10 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 98.2% 5.48 shares