Polymarket Market
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 54%
- Volume
- $375.56K
- Liquidity
- $29.26K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 55%
- Best ask
- 56%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 54%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 55%
- Depth
- 448,848.18 / 49,866.57
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 149,133.19 |
| 2% | 67,531.27 |
| 3% | 61,895.36 |
| 4% | 31,406.28 |
| 5% | 12,675 |
| 6% | 22,281.25 |
| 7% | 12,028.57 |
| 8% | 19,296.86 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 26,403.48 |
| 98% | 4,814.5 |
| 95% | 9,082.14 |
| 93% | 2,499.96 |
| 92% | 600 |
| 91% | 6.14 |
| 89% | 600 |
| 85% | 87.03 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54.5% 109.91 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 30 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 77.31 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 45% 23.43 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 45% 4.25 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 87.72 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 45% 4.28 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 14.28 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54.3% 1,123.7 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 44% 81.82 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 44% 11.36 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 42% 2.38 shares