Polymarket Market

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Live
Probability
14%
Volume
$3.07K
Liquidity
$8.62K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
12%
Best ask
14%
Spread
2%
Last trade
14%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 13% Current quote
No 87% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
88%
Depth
3,858.37 / 78,843.5

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,375
2%635
3%436.1
4%260
5%337
6%63.35
7%10
8%428

Asks

PriceSize
99%6,026.12
98%7.17
96%34,036.91
95%940
94%9.47
91%11,344.62
90%900
87%8,036.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    No 88% 5.68 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    No 86% 10.5 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    No 86% 11.63 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    No 86% 5.81 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    No 86% 5.81 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 14% 20 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 28% 20 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 27% 7.41 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 10% 1 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 11.2% 70.24 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 29% 23.17 shares
  • Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
    Yes 28.1% 23.9 shares