Polymarket Market
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Live
- Probability
- 18%
- Volume
- $241.47K
- Liquidity
- $1.15K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 18%
- Best ask
- 19%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 18%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 18%
- Depth
- 855.52 / 8,537.73
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 70 |
| 2% | 107.32 |
| 3% | 55 |
| 4% | 15.94 |
| 9% | 14.99 |
| 10% | 21 |
| 13% | 20 |
| 15% | 43 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,006.3 |
| 98% | 2,707.94 |
| 94% | 600 |
| 93% | 8.03 |
| 89% | 800 |
| 84% | 550 |
| 76% | 375 |
| 75% | 671 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 18% 2.3 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 81% 8.47 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 16% 7.69 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 81% 3.87 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 82.7% 25.22 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 18.75 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 33.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 84% 13.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 40.97 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 86% 2.33 shares