Polymarket Market
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Probability
- 84%
- Volume
- $619.2K
- Liquidity
- $33.49K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 81%
- Best ask
- 84%
- Spread
- 3%
- Last trade
- 84%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 84%
- Depth
- 163,144.84 / 647,249.37
Price history
Waiting for price history
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 33,000 |
| 3% | 7,333.33 |
| 4% | 38,744.05 |
| 5% | 4,200 |
| 7% | 2,857.14 |
| 8% | 14,722.02 |
| 11% | 1,939.73 |
| 13% | 9,828.53 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 520,500 |
| 98% | 4,875 |
| 97% | 52,750 |
| 96% | 21,875 |
| 95% | 9,377.31 |
| 94% | 10,000 |
| 93% | 21,100 |
| 92% | 1,800 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 20.24 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 11.9 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 81% 1.03 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 81% 39.74 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 3.05 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 3.05 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 81% 2.17 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 81% 2.17 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 7.17 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 85% 7.16 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 19% 26.32 shares