Polymarket Market

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Live
Probability
84%
Volume
$619.2K
Liquidity
$33.49K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
81%
Best ask
84%
Spread
3%
Last trade
84%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 82.5% Current quote
No 17.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
84%
Depth
163,144.84 / 647,249.37

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%33,000
3%7,333.33
4%38,744.05
5%4,200
7%2,857.14
8%14,722.02
11%1,939.73
13%9,828.53

Asks

PriceSize
99%520,500
98%4,875
97%52,750
96%21,875
95%9,377.31
94%10,000
93%21,100
92%1,800

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 20.24 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 11.9 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 81% 1.03 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 81% 39.74 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 3.05 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 3.05 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 81% 2.17 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 81% 2.17 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 7.17 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 85% 7.16 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    Yes 84% 3.57 shares
  • Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
    No 19% 26.32 shares