Polymarket Market
Obama divorce before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Live
- Probability
- 7%
- Volume
- $1.43K
- Liquidity
- $6.12K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 5%
- Best ask
- 7%
- Spread
- 2%
- Last trade
- 7%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 96%
- Depth
- 1,974.42 / 32,016.57
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 750 |
| 2% | 763.54 |
| 3% | 339.87 |
| 4% | 100 |
| 5% | 21.01 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 27.66 |
| 98% | 7,698.1 |
| 97% | 1,012.47 |
| 95% | 120 |
| 94% | 2,151.05 |
| 92% | 1,100 |
| 91% | 5.92 |
| 90% | 5,077.62 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 93% 1.06 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 7% 21 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 94% 117.02 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 6% 5 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 6% 12.5 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 6% 7.98 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 6% 22.32 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?Yes 7% 16.23 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 92% 1.08 shares
- Obama divorce before 2027?No 93% 1.09 shares