Polymarket Market

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Live
Probability
80%
Volume
$3.13M
Liquidity
$87.88K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
80%
Best ask
81%
Spread
1%
Last trade
80%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 80.5% Current quote
No 19.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
20%
Depth
586,056.94 / 169,241.92

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%80,262.45
2%36,257.37
3%22,392.83
4%182,472.18
5%20,146.11
6%83,583
7%16,655.2
8%10,000

Asks

PriceSize
99%69,198.98
98%29,194.82
97%12,359.19
96%13,972.69
95%4,565.34
94%3,353.3
93%2,201.2
92%459

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 27.36 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 73.51 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 79% 3.45 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    No 20% 26.49 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    No 20% 7 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 950 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 81% 200 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 81.51 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 6.25 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    No 21% 21.48 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 79% 0.79 shares
  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 80% 17.24 shares