Polymarket Market

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
Probability
51%
Volume
$665.64K
Liquidity
$41.42K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
Best bid
50%
Best ask
51%
Spread
1%
Last trade
51%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 50.5% Current quote
No 49.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
51%
Depth
59,234.01 / 62,200.16

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,259.23
2%5,556.53
3%500
4%2,250
5%6.65
8%1,300
10%3,247.57
11%600

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,259.24
98%6,265.57
97%500
96%250
95%3,105.72
91%3,001.4
90%200
89%6.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 9.89 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    Yes 51% 1.96 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 196.07 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    Yes 50% 2 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 10 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    Yes 50% 5.5 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 50% 10 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 10 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 50% 10 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 4.08 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    No 49% 10 shares
  • Trump out as President before GTA VI?
    Yes 50% 1.96 shares