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Polymarket Market

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
Probability
10%
Volume
$6.1K
Liquidity
$2.71K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
14%
Best ask
20%
Spread
6%
Last trade
10%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 17% Current quote
No 83% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
2,753.73 / 25,619.97

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%1,540.29
2%395
3%440.82
4%185
5%55
6%15
7%21.66
8%53.4

Asks

PriceSize
99%8,107.33
98%7.3
95%5,620
92%3,000
91%6.27
87%1,867
86%625
83%2,088.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 82.1% 46 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 10% 396.5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 89.9% 442.5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 8.4% 17.02 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 12% 4.69 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 10.7 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 11% 5 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 5.5% 31.63 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 15.8% 31.64 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 815.41 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    Yes 14% 794.84 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
    No 88% 413 shares
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