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Polymarket Market

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
MarketLive pricing
Probability
12.3%
Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$13.44K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
7.7%
Best ask
13.1%
Spread
5.4%
Last trade
12.3%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 10.4% Current quote
No 89.6% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
12.3%
Depth
52,670.71 / 89,434.6

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%45,034
0.2%4,497.2
0.3%1,672.4
0.4%27.97
1%517.17
1.1%206.78
1.5%10
1.6%6.98

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%159.21
99.8%7.52
99.7%10,000
99.6%14.17
99%6,000
98.9%28.13
95%17,075.24
91%11,730.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 12.3% 40 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 8.2% 50 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 7.6% 9.34 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 7.5% 48.33 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 7.8% 3.26 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    No 87.7% 1.3 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    No 92.7% 1.31 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 10.7% 9.35 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 8% 40 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    Yes 8% 29.88 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    No 93% 479.99 shares
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
    No 93% 489.99 shares