Polymarket Market
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 9.9%
- Volume
- $244.79K
- Liquidity
- $12.75K
- Ends
- Jan 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 5.2%
- Best ask
- 8.9%
- Spread
- 3.7%
- Last trade
- 9.9%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 5.2%
- Depth
- 222,903.07 / 149,292.85
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 109,329.17 |
| 0.2% | 38,583.4 |
| 0.3% | 24,384.11 |
| 0.4% | 15,631.75 |
| 0.5% | 8,757.55 |
| 0.6% | 8,270.84 |
| 0.7% | 4,917.85 |
| 0.8% | 3,906.24 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 63,489.7 |
| 99.8% | 6,107.35 |
| 99.7% | 3,437.5 |
| 99.6% | 2,351.86 |
| 99.5% | 1,875 |
| 99.4% | 1,250 |
| 99.3% | 6.12 |
| 98.9% | 5,550 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 250 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 239.99 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 239.99 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 250 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 93.5% 270 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94% 280 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94% 280 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94% 270 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 85.3% 0.16 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.9% 10.54 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 417.08 shares