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Polymarket Market

USDE depeg by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDE-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDE below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDE-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDEUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDE-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDE information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDE was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Live
Probability
8%
Volume
$8.38K
Liquidity
$2.96K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
8%
Best ask
14%
Spread
6%
Last trade
8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 11% Current quote
No 89% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
8%
Depth
21,391.66 / 29,333.35

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%10,000
2%6,000
3%1,966.66
4%1,200
5%1,000
6%800
7%400
8%25

Asks

PriceSize
99%20,905
98%1,800
97%600
96%8.55
95%20
89%1,500
84%450
74%1,546.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    Yes 8% 28 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 92% 13 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 91.8% 406.26 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 89.3% 47.89 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    Yes 10% 6.66 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    Yes 15% 6.67 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 88% 10 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    Yes 12% 99.33 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    Yes 12% 42 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 88% 42 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 86% 10.36 shares
  • USDE depeg by December 31?
    No 86% 10.36 shares
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