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Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
4.2%
Volume
$42.5K
Liquidity
$12.67K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
6.5%
Best ask
9.5%
Spread
3%
Last trade
4.2%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 8% Current quote
No 92% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
94.2%
Depth
14,266.36 / 125,620.42

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%7,764
0.2%100
1.2%5,077.97
1.3%952.99
1.4%71
1.5%60
4.1%108.5
4.2%20.8

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%45,000
99.8%30.8
97%20,000
96%6,250
95.9%8.05
94%2,000
90%16,500
89%10,500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 94.2% 25 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 95.7% 10 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 95.7% 94.34 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 4.2% 28 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 4.2% 6 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 4.3% 80 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 4.3% 47.44 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 86.2% 3.22 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 6.7% 6.66 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    Yes 4.3% 6.66 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 93% 1.01 shares
  • Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
    No 92.9% 6.09 shares
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