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Polymarket Market

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Live
Probability
1.2%
Volume
$109.65K
Liquidity
$15.04K
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
Best bid
2.7%
Best ask
7.9%
Spread
5.2%
Last trade
1.2%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 5.3% Current quote
No 94.7% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
87.1%
Depth
9,736.68 / 127,024.65

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%8,855
0.9%200.49
1%55
1.7%187.2
1.9%67
2.6%121.99
2.7%250

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%47,005.99
99.8%1,874.98
99.7%24.81
97%5,000
95%15,000
94.9%6.1
94%3,333
93%2,000

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 87.1% 10 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 95.7% 40 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 95.6% 16.31 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 97.3% 10 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 96.5% 21 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 96.6% 122.74 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 97.6% 11.9 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 98% 6 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 98.1% 28 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    Yes 1.2% 1 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    No 97.3% 6 shares
  • Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
    Yes 1.7% 1 shares
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