Polymarket Market

Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Live
Probability
54.8%
Volume
$2.44K
Liquidity
$22.73
Ends
Sep 8, 2026
Best bid
8.9%
Best ask
79.6%
Spread
70.7%
Last trade
54.8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 44.3% Current quote
No 55.8% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
8.9%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
54.4%
Spread
91%
Last trade
19.2%
Depth
41.38 / 1,600.18

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
8.9%41.38

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%1,203.01
99.8%100
99.7%121.66
99.6%41.25
80.9%50
79.8%6
79.7%63.28
79.6%14.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 19.2% 8.5 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 54.8% 5.02 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 26.6% 7.82 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 46% 7.82 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 52.6% 7 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 47% 1 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 45.1% 6.28 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 51% 6.28 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 44.5% 8.5 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 30.3% 3 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 34% 2.24 shares
  • Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
    No 49.8% 2.24 shares