Polymarket Market

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
40%
Volume
$7.19K
Liquidity
$8.29K
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Best bid
38%
Best ask
40%
Spread
2%
Last trade
40%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 39% Current quote
No 61% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
40%
Depth
33,254.06 / 32,652.05

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%12,547.65
2%6.03
4%7,636.91
7%3,849.66
8%3,000
10%900
13%1,667.81
15%303.17

Asks

PriceSize
99%8,007.41
98%8.19
96%3,500
95%8.91
92%5,540.02
90%921
85%1,600
84%5,005.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 40% 15 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 39% 15 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 38% 20 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 62% 83.35 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 61% 30 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 38% 200 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 61% 30 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 61% 323.45 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 59% 0.01 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 60% 3.58 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    No 59% 4.37 shares
  • Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 40% 5 shares