Polymarket Market
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 96.5%
- Volume
- $116.89K
- Liquidity
- $13.2K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 96.5%
- Best ask
- 96.6%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 96.5%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 3.5%
- Depth
- 2,574,001.09 / 152,679.32
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2,220,064.11 |
| 0.2% | 300,007.81 |
| 0.3% | 10,000 |
| 0.4% | 19.35 |
| 1% | 1,000 |
| 1.2% | 3,000 |
| 2% | 1,000 |
| 2.1% | 8.01 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 133,501.66 |
| 99.8% | 12,615.68 |
| 99.7% | 5,377.57 |
| 99.6% | 582.98 |
| 99.5% | 278.43 |
| 97% | 16 |
| 96.9% | 7 |
| 96.8% | 7 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No 3.5% 139.43 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No 3.5% 35.14 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.5% 70 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.6% 139.33 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.4% 1.08 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.4% 1.26 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.6% 1.26 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.5% 43.03 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.6% 22 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No 3.6% 138.89 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.4% 21.97 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96.6% 7 shares