Polymarket Market

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
50%
Volume
$24.78K
Liquidity
$4.14K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
61%
Best ask
68%
Spread
7%
Last trade
50%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 64.5% Current quote
No 35.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
60%
Depth
18,996.17 / 2,007.59

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%4,414.99
2%1,718.76
3%687.49
4%468.76
5%375
6%250
8%1,800
10%1,120

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,367
98%508.38
96%50
77%30.43
76%20
70%11.89
68%19.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 40% 507.57 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 40% 50.98 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    Yes 53% 6 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    Yes 50% 1 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 40% 24 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 47.8% 23.99 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 40% 739.83 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    Yes 60% 11 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 39.4% 99.99 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 39.9% 99.99 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 39% 24.99 shares
  • Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
    No 40% 99.99 shares