Polymarket Market
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 37%
- Volume
- $27K
- Liquidity
- $1.89K
- Ends
- Sep 30, 2026
- Best bid
- 33%
- Best ask
- 36%
- Spread
- 3%
- Last trade
- 37%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 36%
- Depth
- 13,702.33 / 3,642.2
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 2,450 |
| 2% | 742.19 |
| 3% | 3,316 |
| 4% | 800 |
| 7% | 507.42 |
| 8% | 1,150 |
| 14% | 1,077.24 |
| 16% | 544.48 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,423.37 |
| 82% | 400 |
| 81% | 260.85 |
| 80% | 143 |
| 73% | 259.25 |
| 65% | 25.01 |
| 45% | 95.38 |
| 44% | 5 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No 64% 847.66 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 36% 220 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 43.3% 230.73 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No 71.4% 3,149.98 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 35.2% 200 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 31% 11.78 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No 69.2% 144.49 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 33% 100 shares