Polymarket Market

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
84%
Volume
$413.26K
Liquidity
$60.12K
Ends
Jun 27, 2026
Best bid
84%
Best ask
85%
Spread
1%
Last trade
84%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 84.5% Current quote
No 15.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
84%
Depth
357,204.05 / 197,563.33

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%310,032.36
2%810
3%13.32
10%100
13%5,000
16%900
20%29.43
21%65.6

Asks

PriceSize
99%5,464.58
98%769.31
97%500
96%4,256.92
95%40
94%4,506.58
93%4,010
92%4,803.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 84% 4.04 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 11.76 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 117.65 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 84% 2.35 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 57.65 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 2.35 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 2.35 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 2.35 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 84% 5,600.36 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 2.35 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 5.88 shares
  • Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 85% 6.15 shares