Polymarket Market

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Live
Probability
26.3%
Volume
$11.14K
Liquidity
$1.05K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
9.2%
Best ask
19.3%
Spread
10.1%
Last trade
26.3%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 14.3% Current quote
No 85.8% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.7%
Midpoint
49.9%
Spread
99.6%
Last trade
26.3%
Depth
55,108.34 / 17,349.37

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%48,984
0.2%2,374
0.3%336
0.7%20
0.8%250
1.2%20
1.7%20
1.8%222.22

Asks

PriceSize
99.7%12,900
98%1,000
95%20
94%600
89%700
84%550
80.8%49.99
77.2%615.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 26.3% 7.6 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 8.4% 17 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 17.8% 5.11 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 75.1% 1.06 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 17.8% 1.07 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 74.6% 1.08 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 93.2% 1.07 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 76% 1.06 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 93.5% 1.07 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6.6% 25.18 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    No 69.2% 3.19 shares
  • Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 10.7% 25.19 shares