Polymarket Market

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
Probability
86%
Volume
$42.62K
Liquidity
$48.24K
Ends
Jun 23, 2026
Best bid
86%
Best ask
87%
Spread
1%
Last trade
86%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 86.5% Current quote
No 13.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
86%
Depth
146,485.81 / 105,251.25

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%4,015
2%10.5
4%32,100
5%10,000
6%52
9%10,933.33
10%12,000
13%6,861.53

Asks

PriceSize
99%170.02
98%408.56
97%14,309.27
96%5,363.38
95%4,007.21
94%4,100
93%4,100
92%4,020

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 86% 20 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    No 14% 35 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    No 14% 466.03 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 86% 27 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 86% 33 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 86% 33 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 87% 14.78 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 87% 2.24 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 87% 6 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    Yes 86% 29 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    No 14% 10 shares
  • Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
    No 14% 10 shares