Polymarket Market
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Live
- Probability
- 39%
- Volume
- $3.08M
- Liquidity
- $64.11K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
- Best bid
- 39%
- Best ask
- 40%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 39%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 61%
- Depth
- 802,677.56 / 459,246.34
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 543,138 |
| 2% | 108,348.76 |
| 3% | 41,645.59 |
| 4% | 15,017.76 |
| 5% | 2,875 |
| 6% | 1,250 |
| 7% | 9,105.52 |
| 8% | 812 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 33,012.56 |
| 98% | 314,100 |
| 97% | 7.12 |
| 95% | 1,425.54 |
| 94% | 1,666.66 |
| 93% | 3,000 |
| 92% | 13,705.55 |
| 90% | 836.78 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 96.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 1,098.66 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 3.3 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 367.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 216.34 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 62% 18.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 62% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 62.2% 1,606.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 60% 2,127.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 62% 43.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.4% 582.1 shares