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Polymarket Market

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Live
Probability
44%
Volume
$3.19M
Liquidity
$77.01K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
44%
Best ask
45%
Spread
1%
Last trade
44%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 44.5% Current quote
No 55.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
44%
Depth
819,694.7 / 505,149.48

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%562,375
2%112,348.76
3%42,495.65
4%17,217.76
5%2,625
6%1,250
7%17,100
8%812

Asks

PriceSize
99%49,675.36
98%315,105
97%5
96%505
95%1,982.04
94%1,671.66
93%5,005
92%5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 44% 10.04 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 45% 10.04 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 44% 88.68 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 44% 26.32 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 57% 1.75 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 58% 17.24 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 44.1% 97.93 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 56% 50 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 57% 100 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 43% 4 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 44% 4 shares
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 43% 4 shares
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