Polymarket Market

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Live
Probability
2.1%
Volume
$1.81M
Liquidity
$87.78K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
2%
Best ask
2.1%
Spread
0.1%
Last trade
2.1%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 2.1% Current quote
No 98% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
98%
Depth
1,742,083.02 / 21,367,155.58

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%459,274
0.2%33,372.36
0.3%10,000
0.4%10,000
0.5%1,210,030
0.6%6,579.86
0.7%660
1%580

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%21,049,000
99.5%90,220
99%5.3
98%38.1
97.8%45,000
97.7%15,000
97.6%4,000
95%20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 7 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 2.1% 423.14 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 97.9% 38.58 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 38.58 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 97.9% 48.92 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 5 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 2.1% 400.44 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 97.9% 39.58 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 97.9% 60.43 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 48.92 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 39.58 shares
  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
    No 98% 6.12 shares