Polymarket Market

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
Probability
77%
Volume
$32.38K
Liquidity
$18.93K
Ends
Jun 23, 2026
Best bid
77%
Best ask
78%
Spread
1%
Last trade
77%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 77.5% Current quote
No 22.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
77%
Depth
59,215.38 / 27,291.71

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%6,026.24
4%4,844.05
5%8.55
8%1,300
10%51
11%1,525.1
17%8,647.77
18%14,010

Asks

PriceSize
99%14.25
98%7,704.45
97%1,882.96
96%57.85
95%1,281.78
92%200
91%6.75
89%200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 14 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 8.43 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 29.91 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 69 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    Yes 77% 0.7 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 15 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 8.43 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 150 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    Yes 77% 1.41 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 8.7 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 7.26 shares
  • Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
    No 23% 8.43 shares