Polymarket Market

Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
Probability
50%
Volume
$17.51K
Liquidity
$1.28K
Ends
Aug 18, 2026
Best bid
53%
Best ask
58%
Spread
5%
Last trade
50%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 55.5% Current quote
No 44.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
3%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
51%
Spread
96%
Last trade
56%
Depth
234.44 / 23,943.44

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
3%110
5%10
10%51
18%6
52%50
53%7.44

Asks

PriceSize
99%10,554.93
98%25.2
96%5,236.91
93%4,549.66
92%8
88%1,695.97
87%45
83%1,167.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 45.8% 55.56 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 47% 2.81 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 50% 2 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 50% 26 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 50% 6 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 49% 5 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    No 50% 5 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    Yes 50% 9.58 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    Yes 48.7% 166.16 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    Yes 47.6% 166.17 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    Yes 46% 20 shares
  • Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
    Yes 45% 72.04 shares