Polymarket Market
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Live
- Probability
- 55%
- Volume
- $79
- Liquidity
- $275.63
- Ends
- Aug 4, 2026
- Best bid
- 14%
- Best ask
- 73%
- Spread
- 59%
- Last trade
- 55%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 55%
- Depth
- 1,500.67 / 3,946.59
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 1,000 |
| 4% | 200 |
| 13% | 250 |
| 14% | 50.67 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2,041.56 |
| 98% | 919.21 |
| 96% | 30 |
| 95% | 10 |
| 93% | 36.32 |
| 92% | 171 |
| 90% | 30 |
| 87% | 30 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Yes 54.9% 74 shares
- Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Yes 2% 5 shares