Polymarket Market

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
5.4%
Volume
$9.57K
Liquidity
$11.39K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
5.8%
Best ask
10.3%
Spread
4.5%
Last trade
5.4%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 8.1% Current quote
No 92% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
84,848.74 / 295,396.91

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%47,517
0.2%30,340.2
0.3%39.83
1%750
1.1%455
1.2%7.69
1.5%1,800
1.7%3,000

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%209,207.85
99.8%110.66
99.7%10,066.66
99.6%50
99.5%45.26
99.4%33.33
99.3%28.57
99.2%25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 5.4% 6.09 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    No 94.3% 318.26 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 16% 6.25 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 7.7% 6.71 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 7.7% 6.44 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    No 86.9% 13.83 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 11.9% 28.8 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    No 81.3% 1.12 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    No 96% 1.13 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 5.8% 47.31 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 10.6% 47.31 shares
  • Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
    No 93.1% 5.61 shares