Polymarket Market

Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
56.3%
Volume
$359.47
Liquidity
$84.6
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
47.4%
Best ask
88.5%
Spread
41.1%
Last trade
56.3%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 68% Current quote
No 32.1% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
43.7%
Depth
13,874.46 / 438.34

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%13,593
5%20
7%70
7.1%38
8%40
21.1%5
23.7%8.1
36%5

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%155.71
99.8%39.72
99.7%61
99.6%47
95.8%43.1
95.7%11.88
91.9%7.46
91.8%12.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 56.3% 8.79 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 91% 8.79 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 61.3% 9.1 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 91.6% 9.1 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    No 58.9% 2.28 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    No 59.3% 2.02 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 79.7% 0.01 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 79% 54.41 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 95.3% 54.42 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    No 23% 4.35 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 76% 1 shares
  • Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
    Yes 50% 26.4 shares