Polymarket Market
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Probability
- 56.3%
- Volume
- $359.47
- Liquidity
- $84.6
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 47.4%
- Best ask
- 88.5%
- Spread
- 41.1%
- Last trade
- 56.3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 43.7%
- Depth
- 13,874.46 / 438.34
Price history
Waiting for price history
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 13,593 |
| 5% | 20 |
| 7% | 70 |
| 7.1% | 38 |
| 8% | 40 |
| 21.1% | 5 |
| 23.7% | 8.1 |
| 36% | 5 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 155.71 |
| 99.8% | 39.72 |
| 99.7% | 61 |
| 99.6% | 47 |
| 95.8% | 43.1 |
| 95.7% | 11.88 |
| 91.9% | 7.46 |
| 91.8% | 12.6 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 56.3% 8.79 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 91% 8.79 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 61.3% 9.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 91.6% 9.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?No 58.9% 2.28 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?No 59.3% 2.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 79.7% 0.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 79% 54.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 95.3% 54.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?No 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 76% 1 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Yes 50% 26.4 shares