Polymarket Market
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 3%
- Volume
- $19.89K
- Liquidity
- $26.25K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 3.9%
- Best ask
- 4.2%
- Spread
- 0.3%
- Last trade
- 3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 1.5%
- Depth
- 79,512.59 / 260,433.92
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 66,630 |
| 0.2% | 6,332 |
| 0.3% | 336 |
| 0.4% | 2,500 |
| 0.6% | 1,000 |
| 1% | 500 |
| 1.1% | 968.25 |
| 1.2% | 577 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 14,000 |
| 99.8% | 5,000 |
| 99.7% | 40,000 |
| 99.6% | 2,500 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99% | 51,000 |
| 98% | 31,300 |
| 97% | 250 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 3% 1,449.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.4% 20.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.5% 15 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 95.1% 126.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.5% 32.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.9% 140 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.5% 31.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.5% 239.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.3% 2.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4.6% 197.59 shares