Polymarket Market
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline. This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party. This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 5.5%
- Volume
- $9.06K
- Liquidity
- $953.94
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 4.9%
- Best ask
- 7.3%
- Spread
- 2.4%
- Last trade
- 5.5%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 30,880.74 / 16,482.44
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 29,203 |
| 0.2% | 888 |
| 4.7% | 673.64 |
| 4.8% | 100 |
| 4.9% | 16.1 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 150 |
| 99.7% | 10,900 |
| 99% | 2,000 |
| 96.9% | 700 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 92.8% | 25 |
| 89% | 700 |
| 83.9% | 650 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 92.7% 1.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 94.4% 1.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Yes 5.5% 84.66 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 94.6% 1.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 88.1% 1.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 96.5% 1.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Yes 11.9% 25.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Yes 10.7% 46.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Yes 9.2% 217.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 91.1% 1.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 89% 1.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No 89% 1.06 shares