Polymarket Market

Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Live
Probability
8%
Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$12K
Ends
Aug 4, 2026
Best bid
1.7%
Best ask
5.8%
Spread
4.1%
Last trade
8%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 3.8% Current quote
No 96.3% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
4,408.64 / 87,088

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%3,833
0.2%191.74
0.3%66.96
0.4%37
0.5%30.68
1.5%189.6
1.6%7.7
1.7%7.5

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%24.91
99.7%10,000
99.6%9.71
99%4,000
98.9%18.46
95%29,075.24
94.3%28.58
93%3,200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 95.7% 1.15 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 97.7% 1.16 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 94.3% 1.21 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 98.1% 1.21 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 93.8% 40.74 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 97.9% 40.75 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    Yes 8% 100 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 92.2% 1,120.24 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 90% 1.29 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 90% 1.11 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    Yes 17% 5.68 shares
  • Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
    No 81% 11.9 shares