Polymarket Market
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Live
- Probability
- 5.8%
- Volume
- $54.19K
- Liquidity
- $1.8K
- Ends
- Nov 23, 2025
- Best bid
- 8.5%
- Best ask
- 43.2%
- Spread
- 34.7%
- Last trade
- 5.8%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 94.2%
- Depth
- 21,152.1 / 12,463.46
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 16,666 |
| 0.2% | 996.37 |
| 0.5% | 3,000 |
| 0.6% | 229.79 |
| 1.1% | 5.15 |
| 4.3% | 183.9 |
| 5.8% | 9.85 |
| 8.4% | 37.14 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 923.38 |
| 99.8% | 60 |
| 99.7% | 15.93 |
| 99% | 2,000 |
| 98.9% | 12.53 |
| 96% | 1,000 |
| 95.9% | 50 |
| 95.8% | 9.1 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 5.8% 6.72 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 52.6% 1.9 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 53% 1.89 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 0.7% 33.33 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 54% 3.7 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 30.5% 16.38 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 1.7% 3.18 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 31.4% 3.18 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 4.2% 16.93 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 30.6% 9.8 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 4.2% 4.56 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 4.2% 32.34 shares