Polymarket Market

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
79%
Volume
$400.88K
Liquidity
$48.15K
Ends
Jun 27, 2026
Best bid
78%
Best ask
79%
Spread
1%
Last trade
79%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 78.5% Current quote
No 21.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
21%
Depth
451,935.26 / 169,270.14

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%338,755
2%13,750
3%8,750
4%12,250
7%2,500
8%20,000
13%9,000
14%5,000

Asks

PriceSize
99%101,439.99
98%1,620
97%4,202
96%250
94%3,752
93%100
92%125.39
91%3,792

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 79% 6.33 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 79% 1.27 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 21% 8.11 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 36.18 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 61.45 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 79% 5 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 78% 58.23 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 30 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 36.32 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 61.2 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    No 22% 30.15 shares
  • Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    Yes 79% 6.33 shares