Polymarket Market
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 18.3%
- Volume
- $57.76M
- Liquidity
- $3.05M
- Ends
- Jul 20, 2026
- Best bid
- 18.2%
- Best ask
- 18.3%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 18.3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 18.4%
- Depth
- 19,756,446.75 / 26,144,552.95
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2,339,209 |
| 0.2% | 1,574,248 |
| 0.3% | 1,016,666.59 |
| 0.4% | 72,888 |
| 0.5% | 30,500 |
| 0.6% | 63,333.3 |
| 0.7% | 10,000 |
| 0.8% | 10,000 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 19,402,991.4 |
| 99.8% | 2,097,337.75 |
| 99.7% | 3,000 |
| 99.6% | 1,048,583.61 |
| 99.5% | 1,000,000 |
| 99.2% | 262,144 |
| 99.1% | 18,006.08 |
| 99% | 272.26 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 27.17 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 65.29 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 16.85 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.3% 74 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 77.35 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 26.36 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 20.09 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 133.6 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 2,740.49 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 545 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 10.87 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.3% 6 shares