Polymarket Market
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 15%
- Volume
- $53.94K
- Liquidity
- $9.89K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 14%
- Best ask
- 16%
- Spread
- 2%
- Last trade
- 15%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 16%
- Depth
- 14,619.03 / 74,840.15
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 8,750 |
| 2% | 15.87 |
| 3% | 427.25 |
| 4% | 1,200 |
| 5% | 1,600 |
| 6% | 7.77 |
| 7% | 64.28 |
| 11% | 448.81 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 4,007.09 |
| 98% | 15.73 |
| 96% | 31,900 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 94% | 6.64 |
| 91% | 11,075.13 |
| 87% | 7,905.85 |
| 83% | 5,038.23 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 84% 1.45 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 86% 1.45 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 84% 20 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 14% 103.49 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 85% 25.4 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 85% 147.6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 14% 170 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 13.4% 1,035.62 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 12% 148.46 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 87% 3.1 shares