Polymarket Market
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Live
- Probability
- 24.3%
- Volume
- $25.94M
- Liquidity
- $219.14K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2028
- Best bid
- 24.3%
- Best ask
- 24.4%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 24.3%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 75.7%
- Depth
- 3,613,035.42 / 16,054,906.34
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2,935,577.61 |
| 0.2% | 400,204.99 |
| 0.3% | 89,424.01 |
| 0.4% | 44,903.39 |
| 0.5% | 30,846.09 |
| 0.6% | 35,050.5 |
| 0.7% | 10,000 |
| 1% | 5,315 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 6,136,495.87 |
| 99.8% | 4,000,007.05 |
| 99.7% | 4,030,154.02 |
| 99.6% | 8.94 |
| 99.3% | 200,000 |
| 99.2% | 400,000 |
| 99.1% | 100,000 |
| 99% | 307,005.42 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.3% 119.3 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.3% 436.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.6% 300 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.5% 204.08 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.5% 25.8 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.5% 12.24 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.5% 4.08 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.4% 4.1 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.4% 151.98 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.4% 20.49 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.6% 3 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.6% 4 shares