Polymarket Market
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 11%
- Volume
- $26.49K
- Liquidity
- $12.88K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 9.7%
- Best ask
- 15%
- Spread
- 5.3%
- Last trade
- 11%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 11%
- Depth
- 82,478.13 / 110,793.35
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 68,603.9 |
| 0.2% | 9,154.07 |
| 0.3% | 2,672 |
| 1% | 500 |
| 1.1% | 200 |
| 2% | 210 |
| 2.1% | 190.47 |
| 3.5% | 113.89 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 150 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99% | 6,000 |
| 96% | 34,944.05 |
| 95% | 4,940 |
| 91% | 12,375.13 |
| 88.9% | 1,297.29 |
| 87% | 7,861.53 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 11% 3 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 89.5% 138.12 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 89.9% 13 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 89.9% 13 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 92.7% 3 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94% 38.89 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94% 24.56 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.8% 24.56 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.7% 124.45 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.6% 129.16 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes 5.2% 21.82 shares
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No 94.9% 842.02 shares