Polymarket Market
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Live
- Probability
- 13.7%
- Volume
- $258.43K
- Liquidity
- $46.83K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 13.4%
- Best ask
- 13.5%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 13.7%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 13.6%
- Depth
- 815,899.68 / 879,725.8
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 135,728.51 |
| 0.2% | 569,441.38 |
| 0.3% | 30,913.8 |
| 0.4% | 18,471.85 |
| 0.5% | 8,202.84 |
| 0.6% | 10,741.02 |
| 0.7% | 7,016.28 |
| 0.8% | 3,203.12 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 12,165.29 |
| 99.8% | 5,000 |
| 99.7% | 3,242.31 |
| 99.6% | 606,218.28 |
| 99.5% | 6,040.08 |
| 99.4% | 9.84 |
| 99% | 1,250 |
| 98% | 1,800 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.4% 10 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86% 4.95 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 87% 4.95 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 13.7% 914.63 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.5% 97 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.3% 299 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 85.8% 200 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 85.7% 6.36 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.2% 7.7 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.3% 60.51 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.8% 265 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 85.1% 210 shares